Pre-production Papers

The following papers, listed alphabetically by the first author's last name, have been accepted for publication in JEEA, and can be downloaded in in the EEA membership log in area. 

30 April 2021

Explaining Wage Losses after Job Displacement: Employer Size and Lost Firm Wage Premiums

Daniel Fackler, Steffen Mueller, Jens Stegmaier

This paper investigates whether wage losses after job displacement are driven by lost firm wage premiums or worker productivity depreciations. We estimate losses in wages and firm wage premiums, the latter being measured as firm effects from a two-way fixed-effects wage decomposition.

5 May 2021

Lack of Commitment, Retroactive Taxation, and Macroeconomic Instability

Salvador Ortigueira, Joana Pereira

Retroactive tax legislation is constitutional in most high-income countries. In this paper we are concerned with the fiscal and macroeconomic consequences stemming from retroactive income taxation. Within the context of a real neoclassical economy, we find that if the government can set taxes retroactively within the fiscal year—or if there is a positive probability that a future government will be able to use retroactive taxation—then there exists a multiplicity of expectations-driven equilibria.

6 May 2021

Lift the Ban? Initial Employment Restrictions and Refugee Labour Market Outcomes

Francesco Fasani, Tommaso Frattini, Luigi Minale

This article investigates the medium to long-term effects on refugee labour market outcomes of the temporary employment bans being imposed on asylum seekers in many countries. Using a newly collected dataset on employment restrictions together with individual data for refugees entering European countries between 1985 and 2012, our empirical strategy exploits the geographical and temporal variation in employment bans generated by their staggered introduction and removal coupled with frequent changes at the intensive margin.

10 March 2021

The Adjustment of Labor Markets to Robots

Wolfgang Dauth, Sebastian Findeisen, Jens Suedekum, Nicole Woessner

We use detailed administrative data to study the adjustment of local labor markets to industrial robots in Germany. Robot exposure, as predicted by a shift-share variable, is associated with displacement effects in manufacturing, but those are fully offset by new jobs in services.

5 March 2021

The Impact of the First Professional Police Forces on Crime

Anna Bindler, Randi Hjalmarsson

This paper evaluates the effect on crime of creating a fundamental modern-day institution: centralized professional police forces tasked with preventing crime. We study the 1829 formation of the London Metropolitan Police – the first professional force worldwide.

22 April 2021

Wage Equalization and Regional Misallocation: Evidence from Italian and German Provinces

Tito Boeri, Andrea Ichino, Enrico Moretti, Johanna Posch

Italy and Germany have similar geographical differences in firm productivity — with the North more productive than the South in Italy and the West more productive than the East in Germany — but have adopted different models of wage bargaining. Italy sets wages based on nationwide contracts that allow for limited local wage adjustments, while Germany has moved toward a more flexible system that allows for local bargaining.